The latest report by SARI Global has confirmed that the Nigerian military has killed 274 insurgents, adding that at least 792 persons lost their lives in 882 security incidents across all 36 states and the Federal Capital Territory as at June 2026.
Penpushing reports that SARI Global, is a risk intelligence and security analysis firm that specialises in providing operational data, climate intelligence, and crisis management support for organisations working in the world’s most volatile environments.
The reports stated that the Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP) launched a coordinated strategy in the Monguno axis of northern Borno that blocked access to humanitarian aid from reaching hundreds of thousands of internally displaced persons.
Penpushing further reports that in the overview for June 2026, it identified the Monguno axis, covering the garrison towns of Monguno, Cross Kauwa, Baga, and Kukawa, as the country’s critical humanitarian flashpoint driven by Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP’s) nighttime compound raids and daytime arson of aid-contracted cargo along the Monguno to Gajiram road.
The monthly Nigeria report is published on ReliefWeb, a leading humanitarian information repository on global crises managed by the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs.
Penpushing also reports that the report added that the first week of June recorded 217 incidents; the second week, spanning June 8 to 14, recorded both the peak incident count of 278 and the highest fatality total of the month.
The report said the activities intensified on June 14, 8, 11, and 13, when insurgent attacks, banditry, and heavy state counter-operations coincided across multiple theatres simultaneously.
“June opened at an elevated baseline and escalated through its first half before settling into a violent plateau. The first week recorded 217 incidents, and activity climbed sharply in the second week, which was the most intense of the month, with 278 incidents recorded and the peak fatality total.
“The tempo concentrated on a handful of days, 14, 8, 11 and 13 June, when insurgent attacks, banditry and heavy state operations coincided across multiple theatres. The arc of the month was therefore front-loaded, with the security apparatus containing but never reversing the early escalation, and lethality remaining high into the fourth week on the back of sustained rural attrition in the North-West,” the report stated.
Penpushing reports that the report explained that most defining incident of the month happened on June 24, when Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP) fighters breached the 20 Units Housing area of Monguno town at night and abducted an international Non-Governmental Organisation(NGO) staff member together with a local guard.
The SARI Global added that the operation indicated detailed prior intelligence on the location of humanitarian personnel and the security architecture of their accommodation, explaining that days later, fighters operating informal vehicle checkpoints torched two Non-Governmental Organisation(NGO)-contracted commercial trucks on the Monguno to Gajiram road on June 29,2026 following an earlier arson attack on aid cargo on June 18, 2026.
Penpushing further reports that the report stated that the deliberate destruction of food cargo, revealed a calculated tactic to intimidate commercial vendors, deter them from contracting with humanitarian actors, and restrict the flow of essential commodities to isolated IDP communities in northern Borno.
The SARI Global said Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP’s) activities made staff unsafe at night and supply routes unsafe by day, thereby controlling humanitarian operations from outside the perimeter.
Penpushing also reports that it noted that the arson attacks led commercial vendors to withdraw from the route, raising the risk of delayed distributions and reduced food availability during the lean season.
“Running in parallel, ISWAP sustained a campaign of daytime supply-route interdiction along the Monguno to Gajiram road. Following an arson attack on June 18, fighters operating informal vehicle checkpoints torched two NGO-contracted commercial trucks on Jun 29, executing these operations in broad daylight and exploiting the limited presence of government forces’.
“The deliberate destruction of food cargo is a calculated tactic to intimidate commercial vendors, deter them from engaging with humanitarian actors, and restrict the flow of essential commodities to the garrison towns of Monguno, Cross Kauwa, Baga and Kukawa,” SARI Global stated.
Penpushing reports that the report disclosed that in the June data, government-affiliated forces were the most frequent initiating actors, associated with 375 of 882 recorded incidents, the single largest share.
The report equally stated that this was driven by an aggressive tempo of law-enforcement operations, arrests, seizures, and cordon activity, while the breakdown of the recorded deaths is as follows: government-affiliated forces (274), non-state armed actors (337), civilians (64), criminal actors (30), unknown actors (86) and political actors (1).
Penpushing further reports that despite generating the highest incident count, however, government-affiliated forces accounted for 274 of the 792 confirmed fatalities, while non-state armed actors, by contrast, initiated 224 incidents.
The record read that, yet caused the most deaths totalling 337 fatalities, representing 42.5 per cent of all confirmed deaths in June and producing a kill-rate per incident far higher than that of government forces.
Penpushing also reports that the remaining 181 fatalities were distributed across four other actor categories, and unknown or unattributed actors accounted for 86 deaths from 54 incidents, while the third-highest fatality figure, reflecting the difficulty of attribution in remote North-East and North-West theatres.
The civilians, involved in 124 incidents, recorded 64 fatalities, criminal actors, responsible for 64 incidents, caused 30 deaths, political actors, though associated with 39 incidents, accounted for just one confirmed fatality.
Penpushing reports that SARI Global said the attribution outlook revealed that non-state armed actors killed more people in fewer engagements, while the unknown-actor category recorded 86 deaths from 54 incidents.
The report cautioned that “A busy security apparatus is not the same as an improving environment, pointing out that Borno state was the single most violent state, recording 109 incidents and 172 confirmed fatalities, the highest of any state, concentrated around the Lake Chad basin, the Sambisa Forest periphery, Gwoza, and northern garrison towns.
Penpushing further reports that Zamfara state followed with 63 incidents, which it said reflected the entrenched banditry economy in the North-West, Plateau state recorded 51 incidents, Katsina state (44), Lagos state (40), Federal Capital Territory (36), Rivers state (32), Oyo state and Sokoto state (31) each, and Niger state (29).
The report indicated that by incident category, criminality and law enforcement generated the largest volume at 369, followed by armed conflict at 297, civil unrest at 110, hazards at 64, and noted that despite their share of raw incidents, the armed conflict category carried a high lethality as non-state armed actors recorded 337 fatalities from 224 incidents.
Penpushing also reports that the report added that this significantly outpaced the 274 fatalities recorded against the 375 incidents involving government-affiliated forces, and equally highlighted what it described as an expanding threat to educational facilities.
The report recalled tha on June 29, 2026 Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP) fighters raided the Government Day Secondary School in Lassa, Askira/Uba local government area, abducting students and teachers and exfiltrating with the majority of hostages in broad daylight.
Penpushing reports that the report rated the attack as ideologically driven and instrumentally calculated to generate international attention while exposing state vulnerability, and warned that each successful abduction of this kind emboldens replication and that educational facilities in peripheral local government areas near the Sambisa axis must now be treated as elevated-threat settings.
“The failure to detect the group’s movement before the assault, and the absence of a rapid security response, reflect severe constraints in local surveillance, early-warning and community-alert mechanisms’.
Penpushing further reports that it said each successful abduction of this kind emboldens replication, advising the government to treat all educational sites in peripheral local government areas near Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP) strongholds as elevated-threat settings.
The report emphasized that organisations with education or child-protection programming should reassess site security, the visibility of their association with targeted institutions, and movement timing, and should not rely on state protection frameworks that have repeatedly failed to detect or interdict these assaults”
Penpushing also reports that it noted that an assault of a different kind was carried out on June 5, 2026 in Banki, Bama, when an INGO staff member was attacked during food distribution by an individual excluded from the beneficiary list.
The report identified this as part of a growing but under-appreciated threat category it described as “beneficiary aggression,” warning that crowd-driven risk at distributions will intensify as lean-season food insecurity deepens into July.
Penpushing reports that across the North-West, 67 insurgent-style ambush and explosive attacks were recorded in June, including an improvised explosive device on the Bagega to Anka road in Zamfara on June 15, 2026
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